Morgan State
MEAC · 3-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#87
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#71
−1.4 pts · likely #45–96
Strength of schedule
27.1
#93 of 130
Strength of victory
19.2
#58
Record SOS
0.439
Opp. 41.0% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
20.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Towson | L 21-29 | −0.5 | +1.9 | 0.302 | 2 | −6.0 |
| 3 | vs Sacred Heart | W 24-9 | −3.0 | −1.9 | 0.174 | 3 | +9.6 |
| 6 | vs Norfolk State | L 21-24 | −17.3 | −1.9 | 0.028 | 4 | −19.7 |
| 7 | at North Carolina Central | L 20-59 | +7.1 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Howard · p 0.207
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Georgia SouthernFBS · L 7-59
- Wk 5: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-10