North Carolina Central
MEAC · 6-2 vs FCS · 8-2 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 63% of the time
Power
#25
+9.4 pts · likely #8–44
Strength of schedule
27.1
#91 of 130
Strength of victory
27.3
#22
Record SOS
0.466
Opp. 46.3% · Opp. opp. 47.1%
Remaining SOS
50.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina A&T | W 28-13 | +2.7 | 0.0 | 0.336 | 2 | +17.7 |
| 3 | at New Hampshire | W 45-27 | +11.0 | +1.9 | 0.605 | 1 | +28.1 |
| 5 | at Campbell | L 18-48 | +1.7 | +1.9 | 0.356 | 2 | −23.7 |
| 7 | vs Morgan State | W 59-20 | +0.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.249
- Wk 16: vs (N) Jackson State · p 0.752
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 41-0
- Wk 4: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 59-14