Towson
CAA · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 84% of the time
Power
#64
+0.3 pts · likely #39–90
Strength of schedule
40.3
#12 of 130
Strength of victory
26.4
#25
Record SOS
0.563
Opp. 58.4% · Opp. opp. 52.1%
Remaining SOS
13.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 14-13 OT | −12.7 | +1.9 | 0.090 | 4 | −8.4 |
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 29-21 | −4.7 | −1.9 | 0.145 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 4 | vs New Hampshire | L 14-37 | +6.7 | −1.9 | 0.388 | 2 | −16.8 |
| 5 | at Delaware | L 10-24 | +14.7 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.119
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.141
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at West VirginiaFBS · L 7-65