Morgan State
MEAC · 2-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#97
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#92
−4.8 pts · likely #61–111
Strength of schedule
28.7
#78 of 130
Strength of victory
21.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.443
Opp. 40.7% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
19.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morgan State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Towson | L 21-29 | −0.2 | +1.9 | 0.309 | 2 | −5.8 |
| 3 | vs Sacred Heart | W 24-9 | −2.2 | −1.9 | 0.188 | 3 | +9.8 |
| 6 | vs Norfolk State | L 21-24 | −16.1 | −1.9 | 0.034 | 4 | −18.6 |
| 7 | at North Carolina Central | L 20-59 | +5.9 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Delaware State · p 0.209
- Wk 12: vs Howard · p 0.190
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Georgia SouthernFBS · L 7-59
- Wk 5: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 44-10