North Carolina Central
MEAC · 5-2 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#33
A #25-level team matches it 64% of the time
Power
#27
+8.1 pts · likely #10–52
Strength of schedule
30.6
#59 of 130
Strength of victory
31.4
#12
Record SOS
0.490
Opp. 49.8% · Opp. opp. 47.4%
Remaining SOS
36.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina A&T | W 28-13 | +3.2 | 0.0 | 0.347 | 2 | +18.0 |
| 3 | at New Hampshire | W 45-27 | +11.1 | +1.9 | 0.606 | 1 | +28.0 |
| 5 | at Campbell | L 18-48 | +2.4 | +1.9 | 0.375 | 2 | −22.6 |
| 7 | vs Morgan State | W 59-20 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Norfolk State · p 0.074
- Wk 12: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.235
- Wk 16: vs (N) Jackson State · p 0.776
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 41-0
- Wk 4: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 59-14