Stony Brook
CAA · 2-6 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#86
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#114
−10.0 pts · likely #89–125
Strength of schedule
41.0
#10 of 130
Strength of victory
18.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.566
Opp. 60.1% · Opp. opp. 49.5%
Remaining SOS
31.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Rhode Island | L 14-35 | +6.7 | −1.9 | 0.389 | 2 | −16.5 |
| 4 | at Richmond | L 7-51 | +11.8 | +1.9 | 0.626 | 1 | −21.1 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | L 10-27 | +11.2 | −1.9 | 0.509 | 1 | −9.3 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | L 14-24 | +9.8 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Towson · p 0.229
- Wk 12: at Monmouth · p 0.399
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MassachusettsFBS · L 3-20