William & Mary
CAA · 7-1 vs FCS · 8-1 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 15% of the time
Power
#22
+9.6 pts · likely #7–42
Strength of schedule
35.4
#29 of 130
Strength of victory
33.2
#7
Record SOS
0.589
Opp. 59.4% · Opp. opp. 57.8%
Remaining SOS
47.7
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Campbell | W 37-21 | +7.3 | −1.9 | 0.403 | 2 | +19.5 |
| 3 | at Lafayette | W 34-7 | −2.4 | +1.9 | 0.259 | 2 | +24.9 |
| 4 | vs Elon | L 31-35 | +11.1 | −1.9 | 0.508 | 1 | +5.0 |
| 5 | at Stony Brook | W 27-10 | −10.5 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Villanova · p 0.318
- Wk 12: at Richmond · p 0.655
- Wk 14: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.310
- Wk 15: at Montana State · p 0.625
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CharlotteFBS · W 41-24