Villanova
CAA · 5-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#49
+2.5 pts · likely #31–78
Strength of schedule
27.5
#87 of 130
Strength of victory
20.3
#51
Record SOS
0.432
Opp. 39.1% · Opp. opp. 51.6%
Remaining SOS
59.9
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lehigh | W 45-17 | −8.3 | −1.9 | 0.097 | 4 | +16.7 |
| 2 | at Long Island | W 38-21 | −6.8 | +1.9 | 0.172 | 3 | +11.8 |
| 4 | vs Monmouth | L 42-49 | +2.4 | −1.9 | 0.283 | 2 | −7.0 |
| 5 | at Maine | W 45-20 | +0.5 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at William & Mary · p 0.602
- Wk 12: vs Delaware · p 0.597
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArmyFBS · L 10-49