Morehead State
Pioneer · 1-7 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#125
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#126
−13.4 pts · likely #103–128
Strength of schedule
29.5
#66 of 130
Strength of victory
0.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.468
Opp. 48.1% · Opp. opp. 44.1%
Remaining SOS
15.3
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Mercer | L 13-63 | +16.6 | +1.9 | 0.741 | 1 | −17.5 |
| 2 | at Montana State | L 13-63 | +11.0 | +1.9 | 0.603 | 1 | −22.4 |
| 4 | at Stetson | L 26-38 | −10.2 | +1.9 | 0.120 | 3 | −17.8 |
| 5 | vs Presbyterian | W 14-10 | −25.5 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.166
- Wk 12: vs San Diego · p 0.141
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 49-14