Valparaiso
Pioneer · 3-5 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#103
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#99
−6.5 pts · likely #70–115
Strength of schedule
19.7
#125 of 130
Strength of victory
8.0
#84
Record SOS
0.438
Opp. 42.6% · Opp. opp. 46.2%
Remaining SOS
7.4
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Illinois State | L 21-28 | +3.3 | +1.9 | 0.399 | 2 | −3.2 |
| 3 | at Dartmouth | L 13-35 | −0.0 | +1.9 | 0.314 | 2 | −19.0 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 28-21 | −4.0 | −1.9 | 0.157 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 6 | at Presbyterian | W 41-21 | −24.2 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Marist · p 0.094
- Wk 12: vs Drake · p 0.053
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17