Dayton
Pioneer · 6-2 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#94
−4.9 pts · likely #62–112
Strength of schedule
13.5
#130 of 130
Strength of victory
7.2
#85
Record SOS
0.380
Opp. 33.2% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
21.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
4-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Robert Morris | W 22-20 | −17.7 | +1.9 | 0.046 | 4 | −11.8 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 16-49 | +3.0 | +1.9 | 0.389 | 2 | −26.8 |
| 5 | vs Drake | W 27-14 | −12.3 | −1.9 | 0.058 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 6 | at Butler | L 0-31 | −2.2 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Morehead State · p 0.041
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.391
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky StateDII · W 46-3