Mercer
Southern · 7-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 32% of the time
Power
#3
+15.6 pts · likely #1–20
Strength of schedule
26.1
#100 of 130
Strength of victory
21.6
#49
Record SOS
0.447
Opp. 41.5% · Opp. opp. 51.2%
Remaining SOS
50.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −14.6 | −1.9 | 0.042 | 4 | +19.7 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 17-0 | −5.0 | −1.9 | 0.140 | 3 | +10.4 |
| 4 | at Gardner-Webb | W 45-14 | +7.1 | +1.9 | 0.501 | 1 | +36.7 |
| 5 | at Wofford | W 42-7 | −2.9 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Furman · p 0.414
- Wk 12: at Samford · p 0.590
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AuburnFBS · L 16-42