East Tennessee State
Southern · 2-6 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#99
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#63
+0.3 pts · likely #36–90
Strength of schedule
34.1
#38 of 130
Strength of victory
8.6
2 wins
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 49.7% · Opp. opp. 50.4%
Remaining SOS
19.4
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at The Citadel | L 17-20 | −5.0 | +1.9 | 0.205 | 3 | −5.7 |
| 3 | vs Furman | L 14-27 | +6.6 | −1.9 | 0.387 | 2 | −7.6 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 45-3 | −14.2 | +1.9 | 0.074 | 4 | +21.2 |
| 5 | vs Chattanooga | L 16-24 | +12.8 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.194
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Mars HillDII · W 44-7