Samford
Southern · 8-0 vs FCS · 8-1 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 8.6% of the time
Power
#20
+10.1 pts · likely #7–41
Strength of schedule
25.0
#106 of 130
Strength of victory
25.0
#29
Record SOS
0.493
Opp. 46.4% · Opp. opp. 55.2%
Remaining SOS
61.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Samford. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Kennesaw State | W 27-17 | +0.2 | −1.9 | 0.235 | 3 | +8.8 |
| 3 | at Tennessee Tech | W 33-28 | −4.4 | +1.9 | 0.217 | 3 | +3.3 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 35-12 | −0.8 | −1.9 | 0.214 | 3 | +18.9 |
| 5 | at Furman | W 34-27 | +8.4 | +1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Chattanooga · p 0.646
- Wk 12: vs Mercer · p 0.657
- Wk 14: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.482
- Wk 15: at North Dakota State · p 0.690
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at GeorgiaFBS · L 0-33