Mississippi Valley State
SWAC · 1-7 vs FCS · 1-8 overall
Strength of record
#119
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#121
−12.4 pts · likely #100–128
Strength of schedule
31.9
#53 of 130
Strength of victory
12.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.534
Opp. 58.6% · Opp. opp. 43.0%
Remaining SOS
31.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-4
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mississippi Valley State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Tarleton State | L 13-29 | −2.6 | +1.9 | 0.256 | 2 | −16.8 |
| 2 | at Austin Peay | L 0-41 | +2.7 | +1.9 | 0.382 | 2 | −29.6 |
| 4 | at Jackson State | L 7-49 | +20.2 | +1.9 | 0.814 | 1 | −13.7 |
| 5 | at Florida A&M | L 7-34 | +2.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Southern · p 0.347
- Wk 12: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.288
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Delta StateDII · L 17-28