Tarleton State
WAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#78
−2.7 pts · likely #48–105
Strength of schedule
25.5
#104 of 130
Strength of victory
20.8
#50
Record SOS
0.460
Opp. 42.3% · Opp. opp. 53.3%
Remaining SOS
13.8
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 29-13 | −13.6 | −1.9 | 0.048 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | W 43-28 | −5.1 | +1.9 | 0.203 | 3 | +10.4 |
| 6 | at Southern Utah | W 42-40 | +2.4 | +1.9 | 0.374 | 2 | +4.3 |
| 7 | at Stephen F. Austin | L 24-41 | −0.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Utah Tech · p 0.213
- Wk 12: vs Houston Christian · p 0.062
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TCUFBS · L 17-59
- Wk 3: vs Eastern New MexicoDII · W 41-6
- Wk 8: vs Southwest BaptistDII · W 24-10