Alabama State
SWAC · 5-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 74% of the time
Power
#54
+1.8 pts · likely #31–83
Strength of schedule
27.1
#90 of 130
Strength of victory
17.9
#61
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 48.0% · Opp. opp. 51.3%
Remaining SOS
17.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Howard | W 23-13 | −1.2 | 0.0 | 0.245 | 3 | +8.4 |
| 4 | vs Prairie View A&M | L 15-25 | +1.5 | −1.9 | 0.261 | 2 | −9.7 |
| 5 | at Texas Southern | W 16-13 | +1.0 | +1.9 | 0.338 | 2 | +5.0 |
| 6 | vs Jackson State | L 12-26 | +20.4 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Florida A&M · p 0.298
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.047
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 21-13
- Wk 2: at UCLAFBS · L 7-45