Alcorn State
SWAC · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#74
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#73
−1.6 pts · likely #46–99
Strength of schedule
22.2
#119 of 130
Strength of victory
18.6
#59
Record SOS
0.391
Opp. 31.5% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
41.1
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-3
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stephen F. Austin | L 27-31 | +0.6 | −1.9 | 0.244 | 3 | −4.9 |
| 3 | at McNeese | W 30-19 | −5.6 | +1.9 | 0.195 | 3 | +6.9 |
| 4 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 38-21 | −13.4 | −1.9 | 0.050 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 6 | at Mississippi Valley State | W 30-7 | −12.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.086
- Wk 12: vs Jackson State · p 0.736
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TulaneFBS · L 0-52