Southern
SWAC · 3-3 vs FCS · 5-4 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#59
+1.0 pts · likely #31–88
Strength of schedule
34.7
#32 of 130
Strength of victory
24.7
#34
Record SOS
0.538
Opp. 57.2% · Opp. opp. 47.1%
Remaining SOS
36.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs (N) Texas Southern | L 0-24 | −3.2 | 0.0 | 0.203 | 3 | −23.9 |
| 5 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 59-3 | −11.2 | −1.9 | 0.067 | 4 | +20.2 |
| 6 | at Prairie View A&M | W 45-13 | +6.3 | +1.9 | 0.479 | 2 | +36.1 |
| 7 | vs Alcorn State | W 21-17 | −1.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Mississippi Valley State · p 0.046
- Wk 13: vs (N) Grambling State · p 0.249
- Wk 14: at Jackson State · p 0.812
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Florida Memorial UniversityNon-NCAA · W 86-0
- Wk 2: at LSUFBS · L 17-65
- Wk 8: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 51-7