East Tennessee State
Southern · 5-2 vs FCS · 6-3 overall
Strength of record
#25
A #25-level team matches it 61% of the time
Power
#20
+10.2 pts · likely #10–44
Strength of schedule
31.5
#63 of 128
Strength of victory
25.1
#45
Record SOS
0.490
Opp. 46.0% · Opp. opp. 55.0%
Remaining SOS
40.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Campbell | L 37-49 | +6.6 | −2.2 | 0.377 | 2 | −6.5 |
| 3 | vs West Georgia | W 35-27 | −7.8 | −2.2 | 0.100 | 4 | −0.3 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 58-31 | +9.5 | −2.2 | 0.456 | 2 | +31.0 |
| 5 | vs Chattanooga | W 14-3 | +8.9 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Samford · p 0.183
- Wk 11: at Wofford · p 0.446
- Wk 12: at Mercer · p 0.584
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs TusculumDII · W 48-14
- Wk 2: at North CarolinaFBS · L 3-35