The Citadel
Southern · 1-6 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#98
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#86
−4.0 pts · likely #56–106
Strength of schedule
45.5
#15 of 128
Strength of victory
50.6
1 wins
Record SOS
0.601
Opp. 69.0% · Opp. opp. 42.4%
Remaining SOS
26.1
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against The Citadel. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Wofford | L 14-42 | +2.9 | +2.2 | 0.395 | 2 | −21.3 |
| 2 | vs Charleston Southern | L 20-26 OT | +0.6 | −2.2 | 0.236 | 3 | −4.7 |
| 4 | vs Chattanooga | L 8-27 | +7.3 | −2.2 | 0.396 | 2 | −13.4 |
| 5 | at South Carolina State | W 34-31 | +7.0 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Furman · p 0.250
- Wk 11: at VMI · p 0.028
- Wk 12: at Western Carolina · p 0.506
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CharlotteFBS · W 43-41
- Wk 7: at Texas A&MFBS · L 0-41