Western Carolina
Southern · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-5 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 83% of the time
Power
#36
+6.0 pts · likely #20–61
Strength of schedule
41.3
#24 of 128
Strength of victory
32.9
#20
Record SOS
0.584
Opp. 62.9% · Opp. opp. 49.3%
Remaining SOS
24.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Kentucky | W 45-21 | +1.4 | −2.2 | 0.254 | 2 | +22.0 |
| 1 | at Campbell | L 19-28 | +7.8 | +2.2 | 0.528 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 3 | vs Presbyterian | W 58-14 | −12.3 | −2.2 | 0.056 | 4 | +20.0 |
| 4 | at East Tennessee State | L 31-58 | +7.4 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.334
- Wk 11: at Samford · p 0.272
- Wk 12: vs The Citadel · p 0.141
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at CincinnatiFBS · L 10-62