Villanova
Patriot · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#48
+2.2 pts · likely #28–84
Strength of schedule
23.3
#100 of 128
Strength of victory
17.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.532
Opp. 58.0% · Opp. opp. 43.6%
Remaining SOS
33.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 17-16 | −10.9 | +2.6 | 0.120 | 3 | −5.8 |
| 1 | vs William & Mary | L 32-35 | −7.5 | −2.6 | 0.098 | 4 | −10.9 |
| 3 | at Long Island | W 20-16 | −5.0 | +2.6 | 0.219 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 4 | vs Colgate | L 21-28 | +11.4 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Fordham · p 0.295
- Wk 8: vs Lehigh · p 0.697
- Wk 9: at Lafayette · p 0.280
- Wk 10: vs Richmond · p 0.268
- Wk 11: at Holy Cross · p 0.383
- Wk 12: vs Georgetown · p 0.089
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at LouisvilleFBS · L 13-59