Colgate
Patriot · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 30% of the time
Power
#21
+10.7 pts · likely #10–44
Strength of schedule
41.6
#28 of 128
Strength of victory
33.4
#12
Record SOS
0.656
Opp. 63.3% · Opp. opp. 70.1%
Remaining SOS
28.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Fordham | W 24-14 | −1.6 | +2.6 | 0.293 | 2 | +10.5 |
| 1 | vs Holy Cross | W 35-10 | +4.4 | −2.6 | 0.312 | 2 | +25.1 |
| 3 | vs Cornell | W 20-7 | +6.5 | −2.6 | 0.364 | 2 | +15.6 |
| 4 | at Villanova | W 28-21 | +1.4 | +2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Georgetown · p 0.089
- Wk 8: at Richmond · p 0.397
- Wk 9: vs William & Mary · p 0.123
- Wk 10: at Lehigh · p 0.808
- Wk 11: vs Lafayette · p 0.174
- Wk 12: at Bucknell · p 0.140
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-13