William & Mary
Patriot · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#98
−5.4 pts · likely #62–111
Strength of schedule
31.8
#62 of 128
Strength of victory
26.6
#28
Record SOS
0.515
Opp. 48.6% · Opp. opp. 57.2%
Remaining SOS
27.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Villanova | W 35-32 | +3.7 | +2.6 | 0.429 | 2 | +7.8 |
| 1 | vs Delaware State | W 22-15 | −2.5 | −2.6 | 0.169 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 2 | at Lehigh | L 20-44 | +19.7 | +2.6 | 0.818 | 1 | −2.5 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | L 27-52 | −5.9 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Georgetown · p 0.089
- Wk 9: at Colgate · p 0.632
- Wk 10: vs Lafayette · p 0.174
- Wk 11: vs Bucknell · p 0.075
- Wk 12: at Richmond · p 0.397
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at DukeFBS · L 7-62