Nicholls State
Southland · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#59
A #25-level team matches it 94% of the time
Power
#80
−2.6 pts · likely #44–105
Strength of schedule
29.2
#68 of 128
Strength of victory
22.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.602
Opp. 70.8% · Opp. opp. 39.0%
Remaining SOS
36.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 44-10 | −13.8 | −2.6 | 0.042 | 4 | +14.6 |
| 2 | vs UTRGV | W 31-28 | +8.0 | −2.6 | 0.402 | 2 | +6.5 |
| 4 | vs Lamar | L 18-49 | +7.6 | −2.6 | 0.393 | 2 | −22.5 |
| 5 | at Houston Christian | L 2-16 | −0.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.685
- Wk 8: at Northwestern State · p 0.039
- Wk 9: at McNeese · p 0.357
- Wk 10: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.197
- Wk 11: at Incarnate Word · p 0.544
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.344
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 3-71
- Wk 3: at Sam HoustonFBS · L 0-59