Mississippi Valley State
SWAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-4 overall
Strength of record
#81
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#121
−16.8 pts · likely #107–125
Strength of schedule
19.9
#113 of 128
Strength of victory
15.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.394
Opp. 35.0% · Opp. opp. 48.3%
Remaining SOS
17.5
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mississippi Valley State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | L 10-44 | −5.4 | +2.6 | 0.212 | 3 | −34.0 |
| 4 | at Alabama State | L 15-41 | −2.8 | +2.6 | 0.267 | 2 | −24.5 |
| 5 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 28-27 | −1.2 | −2.6 | 0.192 | 3 | −5.5 |
| 6 | at Texas Southern | W 38-34 | −10.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.082
- Wk 9: vs Alcorn State · p 0.094
- Wk 10: at Jackson State · p 0.342
- Wk 11: at Florida A&M · p 0.107
- Wk 12: vs Alabama A&M · p 0.251
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Sacramento StateFBS · L 0-52
- Wk 2: vs (N) Lincoln (PA)DII · W 31-20
- Wk 3: vs Delta StateDII · L 6-21