Alabama State
SWAC · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#108
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#72
−1.1 pts · likely #38–99
Strength of schedule
6.0
#125 of 128
Strength of victory
4.5
2 wins
Record SOS
0.350
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 38.3%
Remaining SOS
20.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Southern | W 30-17 | −14.1 | 0.0 | 0.059 | 4 | −0.9 |
| 4 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 41-15 | −15.8 | −2.6 | 0.031 | 4 | +6.6 |
| 5 | at Bethune-Cookman | L 10-16 | −11.2 | +2.6 | 0.116 | 3 | −12.6 |
| 6 | vs Florida A&M | L 27-28 | −15.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.216
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.311
- Wk 10: at Texas Southern · p 0.095
- Wk 11: vs Jackson State · p 0.222
- Wk 12: vs Prairie View A&M · p 0.157
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs LaneDII · W 34-0
- Wk 2: at TroyFBS · L 17-34