UTRGV
Southland · 2-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#55
A #25-level team matches it 92% of the time
Power
#31
+6.1 pts · likely #16–69
Strength of schedule
29.7
#66 of 128
Strength of victory
33.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.461
Opp. 39.6% · Opp. opp. 59.2%
Remaining SOS
39.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UTRGV. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Nicholls State | L 28-31 | −3.7 | +2.6 | 0.247 | 3 | −3.0 |
| 3 | vs McNeese | W 27-10 | +3.0 | −2.6 | 0.280 | 2 | +15.1 |
| 5 | at East Texas A&M | L 17-20 | −2.3 | +2.6 | 0.279 | 2 | −1.4 |
| 6 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | W 13-3 | +7.2 | −2.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Incarnate Word · p 0.544
- Wk 8: at Central Arkansas · p 0.246
- Wk 9: vs Lamar · p 0.496
- Wk 10: at Northwestern State · p 0.039
- Wk 11: vs Stephen F. Austin · p 0.685
- Wk 12: at Houston Christian · p 0.385
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs UT Permian BasinDII · W 44-0
- Wk 1: at UTSAFBS · L 16-45