Morehead State
Pioneer · 0-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#110
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#127
−26.9 pts · likely #122–128
Strength of schedule
31.0
#63 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.404
Opp. 44.4% · Opp. opp. 32.2%
Remaining SOS
14.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Austin Peay | L 7-63 | +15.1 | +2.8 | 0.727 | 1 | −19.0 |
| 3 | at Western Illinois | L 2-59 | −7.1 | +2.8 | 0.184 | 3 | −36.9 |
| 5 | vs Valparaiso | L 3-37 | −19.0 | −2.8 | 0.018 | 4 | −50.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Dayton · p 0.250
- Wk 7: at Davidson · p 0.009
- Wk 8: vs Stetson · p 0.013
- Wk 9: vs Drake · p 0.107
- Wk 10: at Marist · p 0.291
- Wk 11: vs Presbyterian · p 0.087
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.234
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 75-24
- Wk 1: vs Ohio DominicanDII · L 40-42