Austin Peay
UAC · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 29% of the time
Power
#12
+13.3 pts · likely #6–35
Strength of schedule
20.3
#103 of 128
Strength of victory
20.3
#29
Record SOS
0.448
Opp. 42.3% · Opp. opp. 49.6%
Remaining SOS
36.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 35-17 | +5.6 | −2.8 | 0.336 | 2 | +19.5 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-7 | −29.2 | −2.8 | 0.003 | 4 | +5.3 |
| 3 | at West Florida | W 38-16 | +2.7 | +2.8 | 0.407 | 2 | +24.2 |
| 4 | vs UT Martin | W 35-12 | +0.4 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Tarleton State · p 0.577
- Wk 7: at West Georgia · p 0.394
- Wk 8: at North Alabama · p 0.396
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.194
- Wk 11: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.407
- Wk 12: at Central Arkansas · p 0.207
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at VanderbiltFBS · L 9-28