New Haven
NEC · 1-5 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#106
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#115
−11.5 pts · likely #90–119
Strength of schedule
38.4
#37 of 128
Strength of victory
20.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.463
Opp. 48.6% · Opp. opp. 41.7%
Remaining SOS
21.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against New Haven. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stonehill | L 3-21 | −10.0 | −2.8 | 0.070 | 4 | −26.9 |
| 1 | vs Marist | W 22-21 | −0.1 | −2.8 | 0.209 | 3 | −3.4 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 14-57 | +21.3 | +2.8 | 0.848 | 1 | −11.0 |
| 3 | vs Brown | L 10-17 | +3.5 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Robert Morris · p 0.259
- Wk 8: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.434
- Wk 9: vs Duquesne · p 0.199
- Wk 10: vs Long Island · p 0.109
- Wk 11: at Wagner · p 0.063
- Wk 12: at Mercyhurst · p 0.219