Fordham
Patriot · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#65
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#81
−3.5 pts · likely #51–106
Strength of schedule
48.9
#9 of 128
Strength of victory
29.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.665
Opp. 72.9% · Opp. opp. 53.6%
Remaining SOS
21.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Fordham. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Colgate | L 14-24 | +11.1 | −2.8 | 0.483 | 2 | −2.2 |
| 3 | at William & Mary | W 52-27 | −2.0 | +2.8 | 0.290 | 2 | +21.1 |
| 4 | vs Stony Brook | L 16-31 | +7.9 | −2.8 | 0.397 | 2 | −8.5 |
| 5 | at Lehigh | L 0-34 | +17.9 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Richmond · p 0.280
- Wk 7: vs Villanova · p 0.239
- Wk 8: vs Lafayette · p 0.171
- Wk 10: at Bucknell · p 0.158
- Wk 11: vs Georgetown · p 0.078
- Wk 12: at Holy Cross · p 0.375
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at North Dakota StateFBS · L 0-38
- Wk 2: at Coastal CarolinaFBS · L 7-45