William & Mary
Patriot · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#78
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#101
−6.7 pts · likely #68–113
Strength of schedule
33.8
#52 of 128
Strength of victory
30.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.503
Opp. 48.3% · Opp. opp. 54.1%
Remaining SOS
26.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Villanova | W 35-32 | +3.8 | +2.8 | 0.436 | 2 | +7.7 |
| 1 | vs Delaware State | W 22-15 | −2.3 | −2.8 | 0.170 | 3 | +0.0 |
| 2 | at Lehigh | L 20-44 | +20.0 | +2.8 | 0.826 | 1 | −2.2 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | L 27-52 | −8.1 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at North Carolina Central · p 0.225
- Wk 8: vs Georgetown · p 0.078
- Wk 9: at Colgate · p 0.627
- Wk 10: vs Lafayette · p 0.171
- Wk 11: vs Bucknell · p 0.083
- Wk 12: at Richmond · p 0.420
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at DukeFBS · L 7-62