Stony Brook
CAA · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#28
A #25-level team matches it 67% of the time
Power
#21
+9.2 pts · likely #10–54
Strength of schedule
28.9
#72 of 128
Strength of victory
32.7
#13
Record SOS
0.589
Opp. 60.4% · Opp. opp. 55.8%
Remaining SOS
29.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lindenwood | W 36-32 | +0.5 | −2.8 | 0.223 | 3 | +3.6 |
| 1 | at Delaware State | L 34-41 | −7.6 | +2.8 | 0.175 | 3 | −8.4 |
| 3 | vs Rhode Island | W 56-24 | +10.3 | −2.8 | 0.461 | 2 | +34.4 |
| 4 | at Fordham | W 31-16 | −1.6 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Towson · p 0.251
- Wk 7: vs UAlbany · p 0.257
- Wk 8: at Bryant · p 0.406
- Wk 9: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.233
- Wk 10: at Campbell · p 0.592
- Wk 11: at New Hampshire · p 0.313
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.019
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 17-41