Chicago State
FCS Indep. · 0-4 vs FCS · 1-5 overall
Strength of record
#110
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#123
−19.4 pts · likely #112–126
Strength of schedule
31.2
#62 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.447
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 34.0%
Remaining SOS
36.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-3
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Chicago State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at UT Martin | L 7-42 | −4.8 | +2.8 | 0.227 | 3 | −32.9 |
| 3 | at Butler | L 20-47 | −6.8 | +2.8 | 0.188 | 3 | −28.6 |
| 4 | vs Norfolk State | L 20-43 | −7.0 | −2.8 | 0.101 | 3 | −30.1 |
| 5 | at Tarleton State | L 21-56 | +15.2 | +2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.185
- Wk 8: at Lindenwood · p 0.401
- Wk 12: at Southern Utah · p 0.505
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs RooseveltDII · L 28-44
- Wk 2: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 78-7