Tarleton State
UAC · 4-0 vs FCS · 5-0 overall
Strength of record
#20
A #25-level team matches it 47% of the time
Power
#9
+14.9 pts · likely #4–30
Strength of schedule
16.5
#111 of 128
Strength of victory
16.5
#35
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
36.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 49-30 | +1.3 | −2.8 | 0.239 | 3 | +16.6 |
| 2 | at McNeese | W 27-24 | −1.2 | +2.8 | 0.307 | 2 | +6.1 |
| 3 | vs Merrimack | W 45-20 | −7.0 | −2.8 | 0.101 | 3 | +15.5 |
| 5 | vs Chicago State | W 56-21 | −20.8 | −2.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Austin Peay · p 0.691
- Wk 7: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.116
- Wk 8: at West Georgia · p 0.394
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.194
- Wk 10: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.407
- Wk 11: at West Florida · p 0.348
- Wk 12: at North Alabama · p 0.396
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Bowling GreenFBS · W 20-13