Norfolk State
MEAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#88
−4.4 pts · likely #50–110
Strength of schedule
11.5
#116 of 128
Strength of victory
3.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
25.9
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Norfolk State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Hampton | W 42-21 | −17.8 | −2.8 | 0.022 | 4 | −0.4 |
| 4 | at Chicago State | W 43-20 | −17.9 | +2.8 | 0.051 | 4 | +6.4 |
| 5 | at Robert Morris | L 31-33 | −2.7 | +2.8 | 0.272 | 2 | −3.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: at South Carolina State · p 0.414
- Wk 9: vs (N) Delaware State · p 0.193
- Wk 10: vs North Carolina Central · p 0.128
- Wk 11: at Morgan State · p 0.421
- Wk 12: vs Howard · p 0.139
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 56-0
- Wk 1: at Old DominionFBS · L 10-31
- Wk 2: at VirginiaFBS · L 3-59