West Florida
UAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 37% of the time
Power
#43
+3.6 pts · likely #23–80
Strength of schedule
46.4
#12 of 128
Strength of victory
44.1
#1
Record SOS
0.708
Opp. 79.2% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
43.2
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against West Florida. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Central Arkansas | W 42-14 | +1.0 | +2.7 | 0.360 | 2 | +26.0 |
| 1 | vs Southern Illinois | W 34-31 | +13.4 | −2.7 | 0.548 | 1 | +12.4 |
| 3 | vs Austin Peay | L 16-38 | +12.9 | −2.7 | 0.534 | 1 | −8.9 |
| 4 | at Southeast Missouri State | W 20-17 | +3.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Abilene Christian · p 0.463
- Wk 8: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.317
- Wk 10: at North Alabama · p 0.381
- Wk 11: vs Tarleton State · p 0.618
- Wk 12: at West Georgia · p 0.380