Austin Peay
UAC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 24% of the time
Power
#12
+15.8 pts · likely #4–27
Strength of schedule
27.5
#62 of 128
Strength of victory
27.5
#14
Record SOS
0.520
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 55.9%
Remaining SOS
31.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Austin Peay. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 35-17 | +5.3 | −2.7 | 0.332 | 2 | +19.7 |
| 2 | vs Morehead State | W 63-7 | −21.1 | −2.7 | 0.013 | 4 | +12.6 |
| 3 | at West Florida | W 38-16 | +7.4 | +2.7 | 0.529 | 1 | +28.3 |
| 4 | vs UT Martin | W 35-12 | +0.5 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs New Haven · p 0.048
- Wk 6: vs Tarleton State · p 0.618
- Wk 7: at West Georgia · p 0.380
- Wk 8: at North Alabama · p 0.381
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.201
- Wk 11: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.324
- Wk 12: at Central Arkansas · p 0.226
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at VanderbiltFBS · L 9-28