Morehead State
Pioneer · 0-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−19.7 pts · likely #109–127
Strength of schedule
47.7
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.481
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 44.4%
Remaining SOS
11.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Morehead State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Austin Peay | L 7-63 | +16.8 | +2.7 | 0.761 | 1 | −16.5 |
| 3 | at Western Illinois | L 2-59 | −6.5 | +2.7 | 0.192 | 3 | −34.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Valparaiso · p 0.019
- Wk 6: at Dayton · p 0.309
- Wk 7: at Davidson · p 0.017
- Wk 8: vs Stetson · p 0.010
- Wk 9: vs Drake · p 0.098
- Wk 10: at Marist · p 0.258
- Wk 11: vs Presbyterian · p 0.025
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.212
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Kentucky ChristianNon-NCAA · W 75-24
- Wk 1: vs Ohio DominicanDII · L 40-42