Central Arkansas
UAC · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#58
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#90
−4.7 pts · likely #55–110
Strength of schedule
33.6
#41 of 128
Strength of victory
45.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.528
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 58.3%
Remaining SOS
43.0
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at UT Martin | W 36-24 | +4.6 | +2.7 | 0.454 | 2 | +14.4 |
| 1 | vs West Florida | L 14-42 | −0.3 | −2.7 | 0.207 | 3 | −27.1 |
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 9-27 | +0.5 | +2.7 | 0.347 | 2 | −13.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Abilene Christian · p 0.463
- Wk 7: at Tarleton State · p 0.746
- Wk 8: vs UTRGV · p 0.364
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.253
- Wk 10: vs West Georgia · p 0.252
- Wk 11: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.317
- Wk 12: vs Austin Peay · p 0.616
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central OklahomaDII · W 59-20
- Wk 4: at Florida StateFBS · L 7-34