Villanova
Patriot · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#60
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#46
+3.1 pts · likely #25–81
Strength of schedule
22.6
#78 of 128
Strength of victory
15.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.459
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 54.5%
Remaining SOS
31.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 17-16 | −9.9 | +2.7 | 0.136 | 3 | −4.5 |
| 1 | vs William & Mary | L 32-35 | −3.6 | −2.7 | 0.150 | 3 | −7.3 |
| 3 | at Long Island | W 20-16 | −7.3 | +2.7 | 0.177 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 4 | vs Colgate | L 21-28 | +9.5 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Morgan State · p 0.239
- Wk 7: at Fordham · p 0.334
- Wk 8: vs Lehigh · p 0.680
- Wk 9: at Lafayette · p 0.309
- Wk 10: vs Richmond · p 0.277
- Wk 11: at Holy Cross · p 0.275
- Wk 12: vs Georgetown · p 0.108
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at LouisvilleFBS · L 13-59