Colgate
Patriot · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 21% of the time
Power
#18
+9.8 pts · likely #12–51
Strength of schedule
32.1
#46 of 128
Strength of victory
32.1
#10
Record SOS
0.652
Opp. 62.5% · Opp. opp. 70.5%
Remaining SOS
36.5
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Fordham | W 24-14 | +0.7 | +2.7 | 0.352 | 2 | +12.4 |
| 1 | vs Holy Cross | W 35-10 | −0.3 | −2.7 | 0.209 | 3 | +20.3 |
| 3 | vs Cornell | W 20-7 | +4.2 | −2.7 | 0.305 | 2 | +13.3 |
| 4 | at Villanova | W 28-21 | +3.2 | +2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Harvard · p 0.697
- Wk 7: vs Georgetown · p 0.108
- Wk 8: at Richmond · p 0.409
- Wk 9: vs William & Mary · p 0.188
- Wk 10: at Lehigh · p 0.797
- Wk 11: vs Lafayette · p 0.194
- Wk 12: at Bucknell · p 0.162
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Central MichiganFBS · L 10-13