William & Mary
Patriot · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#75
−1.6 pts · likely #43–100
Strength of schedule
40.3
#26 of 128
Strength of victory
36.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.614
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 51.0%
Remaining SOS
25.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Villanova | W 35-32 | +4.8 | +2.7 | 0.460 | 2 | +8.8 |
| 1 | vs Delaware State | W 22-15 | +2.2 | −2.7 | 0.260 | 2 | +4.6 |
| 2 | at Lehigh | L 20-44 | +18.2 | +2.7 | 0.791 | 1 | −3.1 |
| 3 | vs Fordham | L 27-52 | −7.3 | −2.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Holy Cross · p 0.168
- Wk 6: at North Carolina Central · p 0.194
- Wk 8: vs Georgetown · p 0.108
- Wk 9: at Colgate · p 0.600
- Wk 10: vs Lafayette · p 0.194
- Wk 11: vs Bucknell · p 0.089
- Wk 12: at Richmond · p 0.409
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at DukeFBS · L 7-62