Valparaiso
Pioneer · 0-3 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#84
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#120
−18.6 pts · likely #110–126
Strength of schedule
19.3
#87 of 128
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.293
Opp. 27.8% · Opp. opp. 32.4%
Remaining SOS
12.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Murray State | L 18-27 | −15.3 | +2.7 | 0.071 | 4 | −20.7 |
| 3 | at Indiana State | L 16-39 | +1.2 | +2.7 | 0.364 | 2 | −19.1 |
| 4 | vs Butler | L 28-33 | −3.9 | −2.7 | 0.146 | 3 | −13.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Morehead State · p 0.038
- Wk 6: vs Drake · p 0.098
- Wk 7: at San Diego · p 0.111
- Wk 8: vs Presbyterian · p 0.025
- Wk 10: at Dayton · p 0.309
- Wk 11: at Stetson · p 0.024
- Wk 12: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.289
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lawrence TechNon-NCAA · W 59-13