Butler
Pioneer · 2-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#96
−5.5 pts · likely #53–111
Strength of schedule
29.3
#58 of 128
Strength of victory
2.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.364
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 42.6%
Remaining SOS
14.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Butler. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana State | L 24-51 | +20.0 | +2.7 | 0.824 | 1 | −4.6 |
| 3 | vs Chicago State | W 47-20 | −18.4 | −2.7 | 0.021 | 4 | +4.0 |
| 4 | at Valparaiso | W 33-28 | −20.3 | +2.7 | 0.035 | 4 | −11.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs San Diego · p 0.057
- Wk 7: vs Dayton · p 0.195
- Wk 8: at Drake · p 0.177
- Wk 9: at Presbyterian · p 0.054
- Wk 10: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.289
- Wk 11: at Marist · p 0.258
- Wk 12: vs Morehead State · p 0.016
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Georgetown (KY)Non-NCAA · W 27-23
- Wk 2: vs FranklinDIII · W 52-0