Montana State
Big Sky · 4-0 vs FCS · 5-0 overall
Strength of record
#15
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#4
+19.8 pts · likely #1–15
Strength of schedule
20.9
#82 of 128
Strength of victory
20.9
#23
Record SOS
0.535
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 60.4%
Remaining SOS
42.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 54-0 | −6.5 | +2.7 | 0.191 | 3 | +29.2 |
| 1 | vs Butler | W 51-24 | −5.7 | −2.7 | 0.119 | 3 | +18.9 |
| 3 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 35-30 | −4.3 | −2.7 | 0.139 | 3 | +4.0 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 28-14 | +7.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Idaho · p 0.398
- Wk 7: at Eastern Washington · p 0.431
- Wk 8: vs Weber State · p 0.232
- Wk 9: vs Cal Poly · p 0.233
- Wk 10: at Idaho State · p 0.609
- Wk 11: at Northern Colorado · p 0.355
- Wk 12: vs Montana · p 0.745
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · W 20-7