Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 50% of the time
Power
#26
+7.5 pts · likely #15–62
Strength of schedule
39.2
#28 of 128
Strength of victory
24.8
#17
Record SOS
0.615
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 67.7%
Remaining SOS
40.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | W 34-27 | +3.9 | −2.7 | 0.299 | 2 | +7.7 |
| 2 | vs Incarnate Word | W 38-28 | +3.6 | −2.7 | 0.293 | 2 | +10.0 |
| 3 | at Utah Tech | W 35-23 | −8.9 | +2.7 | 0.151 | 3 | +6.2 |
| 4 | at Montana State | L 14-28 | +20.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Idaho State · p 0.609
- Wk 6: vs Montana · p 0.745
- Wk 7: vs Portland State · p 0.151
- Wk 9: at Southern Utah · p 0.537
- Wk 10: at Cal Poly · p 0.357
- Wk 11: vs Weber State · p 0.232
- Wk 12: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.231
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArizonaFBS · L 7-35