Incarnate Word
Southland · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#49
+2.7 pts · likely #22–89
Strength of schedule
34.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
17.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.736
Opp. 83.3% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
38.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Northern Arizona | L 28-38 | +7.0 | +2.7 | 0.518 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 3 | vs Houston Christian | W 30-23 OT | −2.3 | −2.7 | 0.172 | 3 | −1.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.848
- Wk 6: at Lamar · p 0.670
- Wk 7: vs UTRGV · p 0.364
- Wk 8: vs McNeese · p 0.242
- Wk 9: vs Northwestern State · p 0.012
- Wk 10: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.492
- Wk 11: vs Nicholls State · p 0.197
- Wk 12: at East Texas A&M · p 0.280
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Oklahoma PanhandleNon-NCAA · W 76-14
- Wk 4: at Texas StateFBS · L 10-63